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There's one dividend stock that Morningstar says is "deeply undervalued" right now and which it's bullish on for the long term. "Yet we're bullish on this undervalued stock for the long term. Goldstein noted that FMC's products lean toward insecticides, which generate over half of its revenue. According to FactSet, FMC has an indicated annual dividend yield of 4% for 2024. "FMC stock looks deeply undervalued, trading at half of what we think it's worth," Goldstein added.
Persons: Morningstar, Seth Goldstein, Goldstein, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera Organizations: Morningstar, FMC Locations: FactSet
The Nasdaq tumbled 2.1% on Friday as tech stocks plunged, marking its worst day since January 31. “US earnings updates this week will be key to see if they can keep topping expectations and buoying risk appetite in a higher-for-longer interest rate environment.”Tesla, Facebook-parent Meta, IBM, Microsoft and Alphabet all report first quarter earnings later this week. “Big Tech earnings may determine whether the stock market avoids its first four-week losing streak in two years,” wrote Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley on Monday. About 15% of S&P 500 companies have reported first quarter earnings, and nearly three-quarters of those companies have posted a positive earnings-per-share surprise. But investors are nervously waiting for the Magnificent Seven, those massive Tech stocks that carry an outsized portion of market weight, to report.
Persons: Monday’s, , , They’re, Tesla, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, aren’t, we’re, Dave Sekera, ” Taylor Swift’s, Apple Taylor Swift, Liam Reilly, Department ”, Post Malone, Laura He Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Nasdaq, BlackRock, Federal Reserve, Facebook, IBM, Microsoft, “ Big Tech, Tech, Companies, Nvidia, Apple, Big Tech, Bank of America, Morningstar, Department, Spotify, Poets Department, Amazon Music, Apple Music, EV, Tesla Locations: New York, Wells, China, Germany, United States, Tesla’s, Europe
Those what-ifs could further roil gas and oil prices. But if there’s further conflict, he said, “you’d see a much higher premium for oil prices. If there’s a de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran, they said, oil prices should come down over the next few weeks. But if there’s an escalation in conflict, they expect that oil prices could jump to more than $100 per barrel, they wrote in a note Monday. Retail sales rose 0.7% in March from the prior month, a slower pace than February’s upwardly revised 0.9% gain, the Commerce Department reported Monday.
Persons: New York CNN —, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, Jerome Powell, We’ll, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Dave Sekera, Israel doesn’t, , , Moody’s, there’s, Chris Isidore, Pete Muntean, Sam Salehpour, Read, Bryan Mena, Claire Tassin Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow, JPMorgan, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Bank, Bank of Canada, Seven, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Morningstar, Nvidia, AMD, Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, Alaska Airlines, Commerce Department, Morning, Amazon Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, China, United States, Washington ,, Iran, Israel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
It’s jobs week. Here’s what to watch for
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Welcome to jobs week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week that a weakening labor market would be a reason to reduce interest rates. It’s hard to imagine that this jobs report will substantially move the needle on Fed policy, said Michael Brown, a senior research strategist at Pepperstone. The Conference Board’s February Consumer Confidence survey found that “Consumers’ appraisal of the labor market was more positive in March” than in previous months. The week ahead: While the main event this week is Friday’s jobs report, there’s plenty of other jobs data this week for traders to grab on to.
Persons: Jerome Powell, I’ll, nonfarm, , Dave Sekera, , , we’re, Goldman Sachs, Michael Brown, Powell, Brown, It’s, Donald Trump, Matt Egan, Trump, That’s, Natasha Chen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Goldman, Labor, Stanford, Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media Locations: New York, , California
Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.
Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has a chance to provide more insight when he testifies before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday. Those reports pushed back market bets on when the Fed will start cutting interest rates. Investors will closely listen for any hints from Powell about what the Fed is looking for, data-wise, before it begins to lower interest rates. Powell will also be asked about the economic pain Americans are feeling as a result of elevated inflation and interest rates. When interest rates fall, holding income-paying assets (like bonds) becomes less appealing than owning the precious metal.
Persons: Jerome Powell, there’s, , Powell, , Emanuel Cleaver, Dave Sekera, Claudia Sahm, ” Powell, Krystal Hur, Samantha Murphy Kelly, , ” Mengmeng Zhang Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Investors, Missouri Democrat, Politico, Morningstar, Morningstar . New York Community Bank, Fitch, Moody’s Investors Service, Federal Reserve, Costco, Apple, Counterpoint Research, Huawei, Counterpoint Locations: New York, Missouri, Morningstar ., China
Nvidia’s market capitalization rose to $1.83 trillion on Wednesday, nudging past Alphabet’s $1.82 trillion market cap. Shares of the Santa Clara-based chipmaker rose 2.5% to $739 a share, while Alphabet shares ended the session at $145.94. Earlier this week, Nvidia surpassed Amazon, closing with a higher market cap on Tuesday for the first time since 2002. Nvidia has been the biggest beneficiary of the AI mania dominating Wall Street. Most of the Magnificent Seven, the group of tech stocks that have led the bull market, have continued to race even higher this year with Nvidia leading the pack.
Persons: , Dave Sekera, , Jensen Huang, There’s, ” Huang, ” CNN’s Gayle Harrington Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nvidia, Amazon, Big Tech, Morningstar, CNN, World Locations: New York, Santa Clara, Dubai
Six of the Magnificent Seven companies — Alphabet , Apple , Amazon.com , Meta Platforms , Microsoft and Nvidia — are set to be the top six companies driving year-over-year earnings growth in the fourth quarter, Butters noted. Without them, earnings in the other 494 other S & P 500 companies are set to have fallen by 10.5%. And, taken as a whole, S & P 500 earnings are tracking to have eased 1.4% in the quarter. "Are companies in the 'Magnificent 7' ... expected to drive earnings higher for the S & P 500 for the fourth quarter?" In the first quarter of 2024, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms and Nvidia are projected to report year-over-year earnings growth of almost 80%.
Persons: John Butters, Butters, Dave Sekera, Sekera, FactSet's John Butters Organizations: FactSet, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Morningstar Research Services Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed could be on hold for much longer than the market is expecting, says Stifel's Lindsey PiegzaDave Sekera, Morningstar chief U.S. market strategist, and Lindsey Piegza, Stifel chief economist, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Lindsey Piegza Dave Sekera, Lindsey Piegza Organizations: Morningstar
The S & P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, above both its closing and intraday records that it last reached in January 2022. "Meaning that when a major index like the S & P 500, like the Nasdaq 100, reaches a new all time high, what it does is, it clears the charts of resistance." For 2024, Wald anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at the 5,400 level, representing a roughly 12% rise from Friday's close of 4,839.81. Inflation data, earnings ahead Next week will also bring the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for December, which is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Leading Indicators Tuesday Jan. 23 10 a.m. Richmond Fed Index (January) Earnings: General Electric , Synchrony Financial , D.R.
Persons: it's, Katie Stockton, we've, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Dow Jones, That's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Jan, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Wednesday Jan, Kimberly, Clark, Northrop Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, Morningstar Research Services, Richmond Fed, Synchrony, Raytheon Technologies, Verizon Communications, Halliburton, Johnson, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Wednesday, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Comcast, PCE, Norfolk, American, CNBC Locations: Stockton, U.S, Horton, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas
Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs heading into year end. The Nasdaq Composite is on pace to close out the month with a double-digit advance, up 10%. In contrast to September and October, which are typically weak periods for stocks, the seasonal patterns are now in favor of equities. This week, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist pointed out that more than half, or 55%, of S & P 500 stocks closed above their 200-day moving average. It's set to show a rise of 0.2%, down from the 0.7% rise in the prior month, according to FactSet consensus estimates.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, That's, CFRA's Stovall, What's, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Morningstar's Dave Sekera, Sekera, Morningstar's Sekera, Salesforce, Gartner Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank, Treasury, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, New, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NetApp, Intuit, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, PMI, Manufacturing, Dominion Energy, Cboe, Cardinal Health Locations: Chicago
New York CNN —Cash is king right now, but investors aren’t casting stocks away completely. Yields jumped on Thursday, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a speech that he’s unsure whether the central bank has adequately tightened monetary policy. Ham says he sees opportunities in dividend growth stocks, whose declines this year mean they’re priced at attractive levels. Investors also shouldn’t overlook small-cap stocks, says Matt Stucky, chief portfolio manager of equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. However, investors are bullish about another pause in rate hikes next month, according to fed funds rate futures.
Persons: Cash, That’s, Jerome Powell, , Emerson Ham III, Ham, Dave Sekera, he’s, They’re, hasn’t, Matt Stucky, Stucky, It’s, , ” Powell, Bryan Mena, Powell, Trevor, Elon Musk, Clare Duffy, Musk, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, Treasury, Advisors, Big Tech, Morningstar Research Services, Utilities, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, International Monetary Fund, Economic, of New, LinkedIn, Facebook, Center, Anti, Defamation League, ADL Locations: New York, Washington ,, of New York
The best opportunities today are in value stocks, meaning names trading at about a 22% discount to fair value, he said. Morningstar estimates fair value based on its projection of a company's future cash flows and the predictability of those flows. In fact, year-to-date, many utilities stocks have fallen by more than even long-dated bonds. What's great about utilities stocks is that they are very steady because demand for electricity is inelastic. It's a five-star-rated stock trading at a 23% discount to fair value and has about a 4.58% dividend yield.
Persons: Dave Sekera, Sekera, Travis Miller, It's Organizations: Stocks, Morningstar, Treasuries, NextEra Energy, Duke Energy, Electric Power Company Locations: AEP
Stocks will try to maintain their upward momentum next week after a strong start to November, with Treasury yields falling from their highs and investors betting the Federal Reserve may well be done raising interest rates. Those gains came after the Fed kept rates unchanged for a second straight meeting, and as bond yields tumbled. Earnings and economic data Of course, investors will absorb some notable data next week. "Bond yields are the primary concern for investors and what drives bond yields are supply and demand," Stovall said. Initial Claims (11/04) Earnings: Wynn Resorts Friday, Nov. 10, 2023 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (November) 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (October)
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet, D.R, Horton, Jerome Powell, he's, they've, Dave Sekera, Cook, John Williams, Sekera, you've, Erika H, James, Ralph Lauren, Warner Organizations: Treasury, Reserve, Nasdaq, Fed, Stock Traders, International Monetary Fund, Morningstar Research Services, Duke University, New York Federal Reserve, Duke University ,, Economic Club of New, Harvard Club, Consumer Credit, Occidental Petroleum, eBay, Air Products, Chemicals, DC, Walt Disney Company, MGM Resorts International, Warner Bros, Wynn Resorts, Treasury Budget Locations: Michigan, U.S, Washington ,, Duke University , Durham, N.C, Economic Club of New York, Horton, Washington, a.m
CNBC Daily Open: The perfect storm
  + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A new jobs report released by the Labor Department this morning shows employers added 390,000 jobs in May. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. And if that wasn't packed enough, market players will also be chasing the October jobs report due on Friday. It's expected to show the U.S. economy added 175,000 jobs last month, according to consensus estimates from FactSet.
Persons: Stocks, Spencer Platt, It's, Dow Jones, Dave Sekera, Sekera Organizations: NEW, New York Stock Exchange, Labor Department, Getty, CNBC, PCE, Fed, Apple, Pfizer Locations: New York City, U.S, FactSet
The Federal Reserve meeting and October jobs report are on the docket next week as investors wrap up a brutal month for markets. Both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid into correction territory this week following some disappointing megacap tech reports. "I suspect that the Fed is not going to comfort the market," said James Camp, managing director at Eagle Asset Management. Many investors expect stocks could remain choppy until the markets gain clarity on when the Fed will start to cut rates. Jobs report Investors will get another look into the labor market next week soon after the Fed decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James Camp, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Dow Jones, Nick Galluccio, you'll, Powell, Charlie Ripley, Ripley, Galluccio, we've, Eli Lilly Organizations: Reserve, Nasdaq, Eagle Asset Management, Fed, Teton Advisors, Treasury, Asset, Apple, Investors, Allianz Investment Management, Advisors, Dallas Fed, Simon Property, Semiconductor, Western, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Pfizer, GE Healthcare Technologies, Caterpillar, ADP, PMI, Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, Qualcomm, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Labor, Factory, News Corp, Booking Holdings, Paramount Global, Moderna, Jobs, Services PMI, Health Locations: U.S, FactSet, Chicago
Wall Street embraces biggest IPO in nearly two years
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —The largest public offering since 2021 is here. After a nearly two-year drought in the IPO market, UK-based chip designer Arm started trading in New York on Thursday with 95.5 million shares under the ticker ‘ARM’ (ARM) on the Nasdaq. Wall Street views Arm’s listing as a weather balloon for a number of tech companies waiting to go public. A successful debut by Arm could be the big IPO that clears the pipeline for the rest. That would provide a positive market sentiment for the overall stock market.”Goldman Sachs is the lead underwriter in the IPO.
Persons: haven’t, Goldman Sachs, , David Solomon, Dave Sekera, ” Goldman Sachs Organizations: New, New York CNN, ARM, Nasdaq, Trading, Apple, Samsung, Nvidia, Companies, Google, AMD, Morningstar Research Services Locations: New York
The pros share their expectations and tips for how investors can trade in the month ahead. The volatility isn't over The "potential bite" of aggressive Fed policy could lead to more volatility, said Richard Saperstein, chief investment officer at investment firm Treasury Partners, in a Tuesday note. Avoid tech — but not completely Avoid mega-cap tech stocks such as the "Magnificent Seven" now, the pros said, referring to Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — tech stocks that have made massive gains this year. "Big tech stocks have run and valuations are richer than they have been. Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar, said on Thursday that not all tech stocks are overvalued.
Persons: Richard Saperstein, Ben Kirby, CNBC's, Carol Schleif, George Ball, Sanders Morris Harris, Schleif, Ball, it's, Dave Sekera, Kirby, Thornburg, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Slimmon Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Treasury Partners, Thornburg Investment Management, BMO Family Office, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Big Tech, Morningstar, Autodesk, Software, Teladoc, CNBC, CME, Hyatt Hotels, Hotels, Resorts, Hilton Hotels, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Investment, United Rentals Locations: U.S, China, Argentine
Despite last week's selloff, the strong rally this year means U.S. markets are now trading at only a small discount compared with the start of the year, says top Morningstar strategist Dave Sekera. He named six such stocks: Nvidia , Tesla , Oracle , Netflix , Apple , and Eli Lilly . Stocks to buy Still, Sekera said, there are opportunities in some stocks that investors can get into. He names five that he likes and that are still trading at a discount to their fair value. American Tower : This REIT, which owns cell phone towers, is trading at a 18% discount, Morningstar said.
Persons: selloff, Dave Sekera, CNBC's, Sekera, Eli Lilly, Morningstar, Stocks Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Tesla, Oracle, Netflix, Apple, Tech, Microsoft, Cognizant, Morningstar, Morningstar . U.S . Bancorp, U.S, Bank, Jacobs Solutions, RTX Corp, Pratt & Whitney Locations: U.S, Morningstar .
Deutsche Bank analysts recently shared their 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months. Upcoming rate hikes and a looming recession have kept investors apprehensive about the future of the stock market — but not enough to impede the ongoing bull rally. 29 top stock picks for the next yearIn a report from July 7, Deutsche Bank analysts updated their quarterly Fresh Money List, which reflects their top investment ideas to hold over the next twelve months. Since the creation of this list in 2017, Deutsche Bank's basket of stocks has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 167% versus the S&P's 124% gain. The full list of Deutsche Bank's updated basket is below, along with each company's ticker, market capitalization, price target, sector, and respective analyst commentary.
Persons: That's, Charles Schwab's Joe Mazzola, Dave Sekera, Diane Jaffee Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq, Deutsche
The stock market began 2023 with a shaky start, but has since enjoyed a strong rally. It's been full speed ahead lately for stocks, as the ongoing market rally remains alive. On the whole, things certainly look promising — but beneath the surface it's clear that the stock market rally has been primarily driven by one sector: technology. 10 most undervalued high-quality stocksFaced with a looming economic downturn, pivoting towards high-quality stocks could help provide investors with the wherewithal to withstand an impending squeeze. In a note from June 27, Morningstar identified the 10 most undervalued high-quality stocks with lasting competitive advantages that make them attractive to long-term investors.
Persons: Morningstar, It's, Dave Sekera, Sekera
The S & P 500 is up nearly 8% so far this year, and there are signs that certain sectors and stocks are overbought. Now's a good time to be making some changes to your portfolio, Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar, told CNBC's " Squawk Box Asia " on Wednesday. Discounted stocks Though some parts of the market are already in overbought territory, Sekera said some stocks that Morningstar is bullish on are still trading at a discount to its fair value estimates. As for banks, he named Charles Schwab , which he said is trading at about a 25% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimates. Lithium producer Lithium Americas is trading at a 54% discount to Morningstar's fair value estimates, while U.S. automotive supplier BorgWarner is at a 41% discount.
Morningstar's chief US stock strategist says many regional bank stocks are dramatically oversold. Dave Sekera says a handful of bank stocks can be had for less than half of their fair values. If you haven't heard, bank stocks are having a bad time. The iShares US Regional Banks ETF, which tracks the sector, is down 40% over the last six months. Sekera wrote that earnings for regional banks will continue to decline for the rest of 2023, then start to recover next year.
But even in a turbulent environment, there are value opportunities for investors who look carefully, according to Dave Sekera, Morningstar's chief U.S. market strategist. "We think the stock market is undervalued," Sekera told CNBC during an interview at the Morningstar Investment Conference in Chicago. "However, I'd say at this point, the easy returns have already been made thus far this year, and I do see a rough road ahead for the next couple of quarters for the stock market in general." For regional bank stocks, Morningstar expects earnings to slowly decline through 2023. Today, Morningstar views many of those names, in areas such as energy, healthcare and consumer defensives, as fully valued.
In a recent note, Morningstar shared its top 33 undervalued stocks to buy for the second quarter. While the near term may look difficult for investors, Sekera believes that these headwinds will force the Federal Reserve to pump the brakes on its rate-hiking program sooner rather than later. Valuations-wise, small-cap firms remain the cheapest, while mid-cap and large-cap stocks respectively remain just below and above market average. In a separate note, Morningstar analysts listed their top 33 undervalued stocks for the second quarter of 2023. The full list of names is below, along with each company's ticker, sector, market capitalization, and price versus fair value estimate.
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